{"id":18161,"date":"2023-09-13T16:31:08","date_gmt":"2023-09-13T21:31:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/campeche-noticias.com\/?p=18161"},"modified":"2023-09-13T21:31:09","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T21:31:09","slug":"deuda-publica-de-mexico-se-incrementara-en-59-durante-gobierno-de-amlo-ceesp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/campeche-noticias.com\/?p=18161","title":{"rendered":"Deuda p\u00fablica de M\u00e9xico se incrementar\u00e1 en 59% durante gobierno de AMLO: CEESP"},"content":{"rendered":"

El Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos del Sector Privado (Ceesp) se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento para el PIB en 2024 de 3% puntual, en un rango de 2.5 % y 3.5 %, es ‘optimista’, frente al consenso de analistas privados de 1.7 %.<\/h4>\n
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La deuda p\u00fablica de M\u00e9xico se incrementar\u00e1 un 59%<\/strong>\u00a0durante el Gobierno del presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, debido a una clara orientaci\u00f3n del gasto a obras prioritarias, apoyos econ\u00f3micos y empresas estatales de electricidad y petr\u00f3leos, se\u00f1al\u00f3 el Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos del Sector Privado (Ceesp).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Para 2024, el Gobierno de M\u00e9xico proyect\u00f3 que la deuda p\u00fablica\u00a0represente un 48.8 % del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB),<\/strong>\u00a0un aumento de 5.2 puntos del PIB con relaci\u00f3n a lo observado en 2018, previo a la gesti\u00f3n de L\u00f3pez Obrador.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cPero la relaci\u00f3n deuda\/PIB esconde un incremento muy elevado del endeudamiento.<\/strong>\u00a0Hasta la mitad de este a\u00f1o la deuda p\u00fablica se ha elevado en 33.5 % respecto a 2018. Y, de acuerdo con las estimaciones del presupuesto presentado, al final del sexenio ser\u00e1 59% mayor\u201d, abund\u00f3 el Ceesp.<\/p>\n

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El viernes, la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico (SHCP) del Gobierno mexicano\u00a0present\u00f3 al Congreso el Paquete Econ\u00f3mico 2024,<\/strong>\u00a0el cual contiene el proyecto de presupuesto p\u00fablico y ley fiscal para 2024, as\u00ed como las principales perspectivas macroecon\u00f3micas del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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En este sentido, el Ceesp se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento para el PIB en 2024 de 3 % puntual, en un rango de 2.5 % y 3.5 %,\u00a0es \u201coptimista\u201d,<\/strong>\u00a0frente al consenso de analistas privados de 1.7 %.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cEso causa preocupaci\u00f3n sobre la sostenibilidad de las finanzas p\u00fablicas,<\/strong>\u00a0ya que la estimaci\u00f3n oficial de los ingresos tributarios del erario se basa en ese pron\u00f3stico\u201d, indic\u00f3.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Para 2024, el Gobierno de M\u00e9xico\u00a0prev\u00e9 ingresos totales por 7.3 billones de pesos,<\/strong>\u00a0con la expectativa de que los ingresos tributarios se incrementen de 2.1 % a 6.1 % al compararse con las cifras aprobadas y estimada para este 2023.<\/p>\n

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\u201cEl riesgo es que los ingresos resulten menores a los previstos<\/strong>\u00a0y que por ello haya un ajuste del gasto o un mayor d\u00e9ficit\u201d, se lee en su punto de vista.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Adem\u00e1s, sostuvo que el gasto de 9 billones de pesos mantiene una\u00a0preferencia de orientaci\u00f3n \u201cclara\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u201cPrivilegia el gasto social.<\/strong>\u00a0Y los apoyos a Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex) y a Comisi\u00f3n Federal de Electricidad (CFE). El gasto en Bienestar crece 25.2 % y en Energ\u00eda 273.2 %. Dada la voluntad revelada del gobierno, es poco probable que estos rubros se ajusten\u201d, dijo.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que algunos rubros que deber\u00edan de ser \u201clos m\u00e1s importantes\u201d,\u00a0se comprimen mucho para el a\u00f1o entrante<\/strong>, como lo es el presupuesto a la Secretar\u00eda de Salud por casi la mitad , mientras el incremento a Educaci\u00f3n, Seguridad y Protecci\u00f3n Ciudadana es de apenas un 1%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Y para inversi\u00f3n f\u00edsica se presupuesta una\u00a0reducci\u00f3n de 23 % para 2024,<\/strong>\u00a0en tanto que advirti\u00f3 que \u201cno hay prueba alguna de que los principales proyectos de inversi\u00f3n del gobierno generen crecimiento en el tiempo\u201d.<\/p>\n

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\u201cLos proyectos de inversi\u00f3n generan crecimiento perdurable\u00a0solo cuando tienen una relaci\u00f3n de beneficio\/costo sociales positiva.<\/strong>\u00a0Ni el tren Maya, ni la refiner\u00eda de Dos Bocas, ni el proyecto trans\u00edstmico cuentan con ese estudio -que la ley exige-\u201c, concluy\u00f3.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/address>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos del Sector Privado (Ceesp) se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18163,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"\nDeuda p\u00fablica de M\u00e9xico se incrementar\u00e1 en 59% durante gobierno de AMLO: CEESP - Campeche Noticias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/campeche-noticias.com\/?p=18161\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deuda p\u00fablica de M\u00e9xico se incrementar\u00e1 en 59% durante gobierno de AMLO: CEESP - 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